ICGST- ACSE Journal

ACSE ISSUE (II) ICGST

RISK POPULATION ESTIMATION FOR HIV TRANSMISSION USING A REDUCED ORDER UNCERTAINTY OBSERVER AND A LUENBERGER'S OBSERVER

Rafael Martínez-Guerra (1) , Ricardo Aguilar (2)

(1) CINVESTAV-IPN

Departamento de Control Automático

Apartado Postal 14-740, México, D.F. 07360

(2) Departamento de Energía

Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana

Apartado Postal 75-338, México, D.F. 07300

Abstract

In this paper, the problem to estimate the susceptible and the recent infective not yet in treatment groups in a determinate men homosexual population is addressed. The estimation methodology is based on reduced order uncertainty observers with proportional and integral measurement error contribution, considering measure-ments of men homosexual population and infective undergoing treatment group. These estimates allow inferring in some sense the HIV transmission dynamics in order to propose the more adequate health politics. Numerical simulations were carried out comparing the estimation methodology proposed and standard Luenberger observer .

Keywords: HIV transmission, high-risk groups, reduced order uncertainty observers, PI observers.

(Full paper, 560KB)

BibTex:

@ARTICLE{P1110452003,

AUTHOR = {Rafael Martínez-Guerra and Ricardo Aguilar},

TITLE = {RISK POPULATION ESTIMATION FOR HIV TRANSMISSION USING A REDUCED ORDER UNCERTAINTY OBSERVER AND A LUENBERGER'S OBSERVER},

JOURNAL =  {ICGST International Journal on Automatic Control and System Engineering},

YEAR = {2005},

VOLUME = {05} ,

ISSUE = {II}

}

(Full paper, 560KB)